Dec 29, 2023
Long Range Box Office Forecast: THE FLASH, ELEMENTAL, and THE BLACKENING Hope to Combine for a Strong Father’s Day/Juneteenth Frame
This week’s report takes an early look at Father’s Day and Juneteenth weekend
This week's report takes an early look at Father's Day and Juneteenth weekend next month, currently slated for the release of a trio of films aiming to counter-program each other in the midst of a busy summer market.
As always, updated forecast ranges are in the chart below.
PROS:
CONS:
Long Range Box Office Forecast & 2023's Upcoming Calendar(as of 5/19/23)
Unless otherwise noted, all figures above represent best and worst case scenarios for how each respective film is currently tracking based on existing market conditions and projected model fluctuation at the time of this report's publication date. These are statistical snapshots, not final forecasts.
Additional pinpoint opening weekend and domestic total projections for theatrical movies up to 12 months from release are available to clients.
For more information about this article or to report any corrections, please contact the author.
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Shawn Robbins • Jun 7th
After a strong debut from Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse, can Transformers: Rise of the Beasts continue the momentum of summer's early box office?
Shawn Robbins • Jun 3rd
Sony reports this morning that Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse earned $51.75 million domestically on opening day Friday.
Shawn Robbins • Jun 2nd
After a fifteen-year wait by fans, Harrison Ford returns on June 30 for the final performance as one of his most iconic and beloved characters.
Shawn Robbins • May 31st
After a strong Memorial Day frame led by Little Mermaid's positive start, June is set to kick summer box office to the next level with the highly anticipated release of Sony's Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse.
PROS: The Flash Elemental The Blackening CONS: The Flash Elemental The Blackening Long Range Box Office Forecast & 2023's Upcoming Calendar Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Low/High Range 4-Day (FSSM) Opening Low/High Range Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Low/High Range Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week Distributor -25% -25% -9% -9% +21% +18% -5% +17% +17%